{"id":12829,"date":"2020-06-29T22:30:00","date_gmt":"2020-06-29T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elpais.com\/ciencia\/2020-06-29\/elogio-de-la-incertidumbre.html"},"modified":"2020-06-30T11:54:34","modified_gmt":"2020-06-30T11:54:34","slug":"elogio-de-la-incertidumbre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/elogio-de-la-incertidumbre\/","title":{"rendered":"Praise of uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/ciencia\/2020-04-06\/la-importancia-de-interpretar-bien-los-datos-y-modelos-de-la-covid-19.html\" >Construir modelos matem\u00e1ticos se ha convertido en una profesi\u00f3n de riesgo.<\/a> Los expertos saben en qu\u00e9 consiste un modelo, cu\u00e1les son sus axiomas y lo muy alta que es su incertidumbre sobre el mundo real, pero los pol\u00edticos no, y usan una peque\u00f1a parte de esas matem\u00e1ticas valiosas para llevarse a casa las conclusiones con las que ya estaban previamente de acuerdo y ocultar todo lo dem\u00e1s. El chiste de que hay verdades, medias verdades y verdades estad\u00edsticas no solo tiene gracia, sino tambi\u00e9n mucha raz\u00f3n. Pero no debe interpretarse como una cr\u00edtica a la estad\u00edstica, sino a la utilizaci\u00f3n interesada, tramposa y selectiva que hacen de ella los Gobiernos y los aspirantes a derrocarlos.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/ciencia\/2020-06-29\/elogio-de-la-incertidumbre.html\" >Keep reading<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The political use of epidemiological models lacks a scientific basis<\/p>","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[123],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12829","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-portal"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12829","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12829"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12829\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12889,"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12829\/revisions\/12889"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12829"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12829"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forocilac.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12829"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}