The National Statistics Institute (INE) just made public the data of the first wave of coronavirus. Only in the first 5 months (actually 3, because the first two months there is no Covid): 50,000 dead. In 3 months.
That is to say: 45,684 direct deaths from COVID + 4,218 cases in which the cause of death was not directly Covid, but rather their death was mainly due to other causes, but the virus has contributed to the death of said people.
First cause of death
Seen this way, it is the leading cause of death in Spain in that period of time... as much as adding all the deaths from all types of cancer simultaneously. It has also been analyzed where people have died: almost 14,000 people in nursing homes.
However, in general terms, Infectious diseases (include #COVID19 identified virus and suspected COVID19) were the 2nd cause of death (20.9% of the total).
Deaths according to Cause of Death January-May 2019/2020
Infectious diseases (include #COVID19 identified virus and suspected COVID19) were the 2nd cause of death (20.9% of the total)
Press release👇https://t.co/WnnhEcgO2A
Results➡️https://t.co/626yXbopvW#INE pic.twitter.com/4DYLeNR9GJ
— INE Spain (@es_INE) December 10, 2020
These are almost definitive figures, apparently things still need to be refined, so the figure could increase over time. But, for now, In Spain, 231,014 people died between January and May 2020. About 43,000 above the average for the 2016-2019 period. 47,000 above the average if we only count the period from March to May.
As of May 31, the Ministry of Health identified 27,127 deaths from coronavirus with a diagnostic test. Not all people who died in the first wave of the pandemic in Spain were tested to detect the coronavirus: the INE now numbers them at 18,557. 50,000 compared to 28,000 for Health. Almost double.
Now Health says that we have about 18,000 deaths since August. Obviously, there are more. We don't know if it's double, but it's somewhere around there. If it were double, it would be 18,000 x 2 = 36,000. Which gives us a pessimistic total of 50,000 + 36,000 = 86,000 so far.
If we are optimistic and Health now counts its deaths better, perhaps there will be 10,000 fewer. If Health told the whole truth (or could do so, because technically it still cannot), then it would come out, as a hyper-optimistic figure: 68.000. So we are in an approximate range of 68,000 – 86,000. And there is almost a month left until the end of the year. The most pessimistic figure of all, although unlikely, could be close to 100,000 deaths from covid.
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The news
Deaths in Spain from COVID-19 according to new data (almost definitive) from the INE
was originally published in
Xataka Science
by
Sergio Parra
.